2015 Best/Worst Value Round 6


Round 6 (61-72)

61. Mike Wallace
62. LeGarrette Blount
63. Greg Olsen
64. Isaiah Crowell
65. Jeremy Maclin
66. Chris Ivory
67. Ryan Mathews
68. Jarvis Landry
69. Ben Roethlisberger
70. Travis Kelce
71. Allen Robinson
72. Eric Decker
73. Martavis Bryant
74. Shane Vereen

Wallace is a decent WR2 being drafted as a flex.

Wallace is a decent WR2 being drafted as a flex.

Best Value: Brandon Marshall (60) and Mike Wallace (61)

Brandon Marshall

  • People forget how good he is because he had a lackluster 2014 due to injury. At 31, he still has a couple good years left. While, he's no longer elite, I still consider him a top 10 receiver (only Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, Dez Bryant, A.J. Green, Dez Bryant, Calvin Johnson, and Jordy Nelson are for sure ahead of him). 
  • I believe that Ryan Fitzpatrick reunited with Chan Gailey's spread offense can be good enough to deliver a solid season for Marshall. DeAndre Hopkins scored 146 points last season with Fitzpatrick under center in the league's most run-heavy offense.
  • Other than last season and his rookie season in 2006, Marshall has never had less than 1000 yards in a season. That includes 2 years in Miami catching passes from Chad Henne. From 2007 to 2013, Marshall had 5 seasons with over 100 catches and averaged about 8 touchdowns per season. 

Mike Wallace

  • He's currently ranked as the 27th wide receiver but he finished 18th last season. Why do people expect him to regress significantly?
  • Compared to Ryan Tannehill, Wallace's new QB, Teddy Bridgewater, is a better deep ball passer, a trait that plays to Wallace's strengths as a receiver. Bridgewater was tied for 8th in deep ball accuracy while Tannehill was 20th. 
  • Norv Turner, the offensive coordinator, likes to give the #1 receiver the ball. He made Vincent Jackson a star in San Diego and Josh Gordon a star in his year with the Browns. Mike Wallace is the clear #1.
  • Wallace is 13th in receiving yards and 4th in touchdowns since entering the league in 2009. He's been productive throughout his career.
  • Wallace's schedule is more favorable than last year. 
Great player, bad value.

Great player, bad value.

Worst Value: Travis Kelce (70)

I think Kelce is a fantastic player and I had him on most of my teams last year. But drafting a tight end in the middle rounds is a bad idea. Just look at the mid-round TEs from last year:

  • Vernon Davis: ranked 50th overall, finished 40th among TEs with 30 points
  • Jason Witten: ranked  75th overall, finished 10th among TEs with 93 points
  • Jordan Cameron: ranked 96 overall, finished 22nd among TEs with 51 points 

Other than the elite tight ends, you can get better for much cheaper. And it's not as if Kelce has amazing upside. He finished 8th among tight ends with 108 points and there's not that much reason to think that he will improve significantly. 

Crowell owes his lofty upside to his monstrous offensive line. 

Crowell owes his lofty upside to his monstrous offensive line. 

Risky Pick: Isaiah Crowell (64)

Isaiah Crowell has the highest upside of any player in this round. With C Alex Mack returning from injury the Browns offensive line has a chance to be the best in the league this year. Crowell, a 5-star recruit out of high school, was dismissed from Georgia after being arrested on felony weapons charges. For this reason, Crowell went undrafted. However, when given the chance last season, he shined. In fact, most say that he outplayed 3rd round draft pick Terrance West:

  • Isaiah Crowell: 148 carries, 607 yards, 4.1 YPC, 8 touchdowns
  • Terrance West: 171 carries, 673 yards, 3.9 YPC, 4 touchdowns

If nothing else, Crowell proved himself as the better goal line back. However, the Browns muddied the backfield situation even further by drafting RB Duke Johnson in the 3rd round of this year's draft. Personally, I think Crowell has the best chance at being the starter but the most likely scenario is similar to last year's frustrating time share. But if Crowell can gain some separation and carve out a consistent role for himself, he could end up being a top 15 running back by season's end. 

Intriguing Pick: Jeremy Maclin (65)

Smith TD pass to WR Dwayne Bowe. Granted, this was in 2013 but it HAS happened before guys!

Smith TD pass to WR Dwayne Bowe. Granted, this was in 2013 but it HAS happened before guys!

EVERYBODY knows that Maclin wont be nearly as productive as he was in 2014. But that expectation is already built into his rank so the real question is how much worse will he be? Maclin had 85 receptions, 1,318 yards, and 10 touchdowns, good 182 fantasy points. Considering that he finished 9th among receivers last year, his current rank as the 28th wide receiver is a massive downgrade. Certainly a considerably drop in the rankings was warranted: astonishingly, the Kansas City Chiefs did not record a single receiving touchdown by a wide receiver in 2014 and Alex Smith has long been known for being too conservative with the ball at times. The ground and pound, dink and dunk Chiefs offense will be in stark contrast to the high-octane machine that Maclin benefited from in Philadelphia. But a drop from 9th to 28th is about 60 points. Maclin has fallen so far through the ranks that I think he might actually represent decent value here at the end of the 6th round. That 0 touchdown stat in 2014 seems more fluky than anything. It's not as if Alex Smith can't throw touchdowns to wide receivers; in his first year with the Chiefs, Smith threw 9 touchdowns to receivers including 5 to Dwayne Bowe. Maclin is considerably better than Bowe and, more importantly, he's a better fit for Alex Smith who needs his receivers to gain separation, something Maclin is better at compared to Bowe. Additionally, Maclin is reunited with coach Andy Reid who selected him in the 2009 NFL Draft and under which he had quite a few productive seasons. For these reasons, I think that 1,000 yards and 5 touchdowns is reasonable for Maclin with potential for upside.